2007 Top 25 of Estimated RBIPlayer | TPA | AB | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | HBP | SF | SH | GO | RBI(Rk) | eRBI(Rk) | RBI/700(Rk) | eRBI/700(Rk) |
A Rodriguez | 708 | 583 | 98 | 31 | 0 | 54 | 95 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 141 | 156(1.0) | 137.6(1) | 154.2(1) | 136.1(2) |
P Fielder | 681 | 573 | 78 | 35 | 2 | 50 | 90 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 131 | 119(9.0) | 124.1(2) | 122.3(19) | 127.5(4) |
M Holliday | 713 | 636 | 124 | 50 | 6 | 36 | 63 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 149 | 137(3.0) | 120.8(3) | 134.5(7) | 118.6(6) |
J Rollins | 778 | 716 | 124 | 38 | 20 | 30 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 160 | 94(43.5) | 116.3(4) | 84.6(133) | 104.6(30) |
C Lee | 697 | 627 | 114 | 43 | 1 | 32 | 53 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 163 | 119(9.0) | 114.8(5) | 119.5(20) | 115.3(9) |
C Pena | 612 | 490 | 62 | 29 | 1 | 46 | 103 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 106 | 121(6.0) | 114.4(6) | 138.4(5) | 130.8(3) |
R Howard | 648 | 529 | 69 | 26 | 0 | 47 | 107 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 85 | 136(4.0) | 114.1(7) | 146.9(2) | 123.2(5) |
M Cabrera | 680 | 588 | 114 | 38 | 2 | 34 | 79 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 133 | 119(9.0) | 110.4(8) | 122.5(18) | 113.7(11) |
H Ramirez | 706 | 639 | 129 | 48 | 6 | 29 | 52 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 152 | 81(71.5) | 109.6(9) | 80.3(156) | 108.7(20) |
D Ortiz | 667 | 549 | 94 | 52 | 1 | 35 | 111 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 123 | 117(11.0) | 109.5(10) | 122.8(17) | 114.9(10) |
M Ordonez | 679 | 595 | 134 | 54 | 0 | 28 | 76 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 148 | 139(2.0) | 109.3(11) | 143.3(3) | 112.7(15) |
A Pujols | 679 | 565 | 114 | 38 | 1 | 32 | 99 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 156 | 103(24.0) | 108.6(12) | 106.2(48) | 111.9(17) |
D Wright | 711 | 604 | 123 | 42 | 1 | 30 | 94 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 139 | 107(18.5) | 107.7(13) | 105.3(53) | 106.0(26) |
D Uggla | 728 | 632 | 72 | 49 | 3 | 31 | 68 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 121 | 88(57.0) | 105.3(14) | 84.6(132) | 101.3(47) |
A Gonzalez | 720 | 646 | 103 | 46 | 3 | 30 | 65 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 144 | 100(31.5) | 104.5(15) | 97.2(78) | 101.6(45) |
C Beltran | 636 | 554 | 84 | 33 | 3 | 33 | 69 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 133 | 112(14.5) | 103.1(16) | 123.3(16) | 113.4(13) |
A Soriano | 617 | 579 | 93 | 42 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 108 | 70(105.5) | 102.0(17) | 79.4(157) | 115.7(8) |
B Phillips | 702 | 650 | 125 | 26 | 6 | 30 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 174 | 94(43.5) | 101.8(18) | 93.7(90) | 101.5(46) |
A Dunn | 632 | 522 | 69 | 27 | 2 | 40 | 101 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 103 | 106(20.0) | 101.8(19) | 117.4(23) | 112.7(14) |
J Morneau | 668 | 590 | 95 | 31 | 3 | 31 | 64 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 177 | 111(16.5) | 101.4(20) | 116.3(25) | 106.3(23) |
V Guerrero | 660 | 574 | 113 | 45 | 1 | 27 | 71 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 176 | 125(5.0) | 101.3(21) | 132.6(9) | 107.4(21) |
A Rios | 711 | 643 | 117 | 43 | 7 | 24 | 55 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 137 | 85(62.0) | 99.9(22) | 83.7(138) | 98.3(64) |
C Jones | 600 | 513 | 98 | 42 | 4 | 29 | 82 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 133 | 102(27.0) | 99.6(23) | 119.0(21) | 116.2(7) |
A Rowand | 684 | 612 | 117 | 45 | 0 | 27 | 47 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 150 | 89(54.5) | 98.9(24) | 91.1(101) | 101.2(50) |
L Berkman | 668 | 561 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 34 | 94 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 147 | 102(27.0) | 98.8(25) | 106.9(46) | 103.6(34) |
根據前兩篇的推論,我們最後得到eRBI(Estimated RBI) = 0.228*1B + 0.442*2B + 0.613*3B + 1.607*HR +0.022*BB + 0.033*HBP + 1.000*SF + 0.025*SH + 0.022*GO。
上表是2007年eRBI最高的25名打者的打擊成績。
Sort By RBIPlayer | RBI(Rk) | eRBI(Rk) | A Rodriguez | 156(1.0) | 137.6(1) | M Ordonez | 139(2.0) | 109.3(11) | M Holliday | 137(3.0) | 120.8(3) | R Howard | 136(4.0) | 114.1(7) | V Guerrero | 125(5.0) | 101.3(21) | C Pena | 121(6.0) | 114.4(6) | M Lowell | 120(7.0) | 93.2(37) | M Cabrera | 119(9.0) | 110.4(8) | P Fielder | 119(9.0) | 124.1(2) | C Lee | 119(9.0) | 114.8(5) |
| Player | RBI/700(Rk) | eRBI/700(Rk) | A Rodriguez | 154.2(1) | 136.1(2) | R Howard | 146.9(2) | 123.2(5) | M Ordonez | 143.3(3) | 112.7(15) | S Sosa | 141.9(4) | 101.8(43) | C Pena | 138.4(5) | 130.8(3) | R Braun | 138.0(6) | 136.2(1) | M Holliday | 134.5(7) | 118.6(6) | B Hawpe | 134.0(8) | 106.2(24) | V Guerrero | 132.6(9) | 107.4(21) | M Lowell | 128.6(10) | 99.9(57) |
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我們可以看到RBI前十名的打者大多也是eRBI榜上的領先者,Mike Lowell是個極端的例外,他的eRBI只能排在第37名(也就是平均一隊有1.2個人的等級),但是實際的RBI卻是第7名,這要歸功於他前段隊友的上壘能力和他本身在壘上有人的表現。不意外的,RBI領先群幾乎都有著超出預估值的RBI,Prince Fielder是唯一的例外,RBI比eRBI還低了5分。
在RBI/700PA的部份,我們可以看到Sammy Sosa取代了Lowell的地位,而Fielder掉出前10名後,RBI-eRBI最低的變成了他的隊友Ryan Braun。
Sort By Estimated RBIPlayer | RBI(Rk) | eRBI(Rk) | A Rodriguez | 156(1.0) | 137.6(1) | P Fielder | 119(9.0) | 124.1(2) | M Holliday | 137(3.0) | 120.8(3) | J Rollins | 94(43.5) | 116.3(4) | C Lee | 119(9.0) | 114.8(5) | C Pena | 121(6.0) | 114.4(6) | R Howard | 136(4.0) | 114.1(7) | M Cabrera | 119(9.0) | 110.4(8) | H Ramirez | 81(71.5) | 109.6(9) | D Ortiz | 117(11.0) | 109.5(10) |
| Player | RBI/700(Rk) | eRBI/700(Rk) | R Braun | 138.0(6) | 136.2(1) | A Rodriguez | 154.2(1) | 136.1(2) | C Pena | 138.4(5) | 130.8(3) | P Fielder | 122.3(19) | 127.5(4) | R Howard | 146.9(2) | 123.2(5) | M Holliday | 134.5(7) | 118.6(6) | C Jones | 119.0(21) | 116.2(7) | A Soriano | 79.4(157) | 115.7(8) | C Lee | 119.5(20) | 115.3(9) | D Ortiz | 122.8(17) | 114.9(10) |
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Jimmy Rollins和Hanley Ramirez都有很強的清壘能力,打第一棒讓他們的實際打點數大打折扣。
不過話說回來,要不是打第一棒,他們也沒辦法打那麼多打席。以eRBI/700PA來看,Alfonso Soriano才是唯一能和中心打者一拼清壘能力的第一棒。
Sort By RBI - eRBIPlayer | RBI(Rk) | eRBI(Rk) | M Ordonez | 139(2.0) | 109.3(11) | M Lowell | 120(7.0) | 93.2(37) | S Sosa | 92(48.5) | 66.0(120) | B Hawpe | 116(12.0) | 92.0(39) | V Guerrero | 125(5.0) | 101.3(21) | R Howard | 136(4.0) | 114.1(7) | M Young | 94(43.5) | 72.7(97) | E Brown | 62(140.0) | 41.4(224) | A Rodriguez | 156(1.0) | 137.6(1) | B McCann | 92(48.5) | 73.8(93) |
| Player | RBI/700(Rk) | eRBI/700(Rk) | S Sosa | 141.9(4) | 101.8(43) | E Brown | 109.3(39) | 72.9(201) | M Ordonez | 143.3(3) | 112.7(15) | R Hernandez | 106.1(49) | 75.6(186) | M Lowell | 128.6(10) | 99.9(57) | B Hawpe | 134.0(8) | 106.2(24) | V Guerrero | 132.6(9) | 107.4(21) | R Howard | 146.9(2) | 123.2(5) | B McCann | 116.7(24) | 93.6(84) | M Young | 95.1(87) | 73.5(200) |
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Ordonez奪下RBI超出預估最多的打者頭銜,Lowell和Sosa緊追在後,但是以比率上來看,比eRBI多打了一半的Emi Brown可能才是最神奇的。比較有意思的是主打第三棒但第二棒也打了不少的Michael Young也出現在這個榜上。
Sort By eRBI - RBIPlayer | RBI(Rk) | eRBI(Rk) | A Soriano | 70(105.5) | 102.0(17) | H Ramirez | 81(71.5) | 109.6(9) | A Iwamura | 34(229.0) | 58.9(162) | C Young | 68(112.0) | 90.9(41) | C Granderson | 74(90.5) | 96.9(30) | J Rollins | 94(43.5) | 116.3(4) | J Reyes | 57(164.0) | 79.3(77) | K Lofton | 38(223.5) | 59.6(155) | J Pierre | 41(215.5) | 62.3(141) | R Weeks | 36(227.0) | 56.9(172) |
| Player | RBI/700(Rk) | eRBI/700(Rk) | A Soriano | 79.4(157) | 115.7(8) | A Iwamura | 42.6(242) | 73.7(198) | R Weeks | 49.8(236) | 78.7(169) | H Ramirez | 80.3(156) | 108.7(20) | D Eckstein | 44.8(240) | 72.9(202) | L Castillo | 32.8(248) | 60.0(239) | K Lofton | 47.6(237) | 74.6(192) | Y Escobar | 55.2(227) | 81.0(157) | C Young | 76.3(175) | 102.0(42) | C Granderson | 76.6(174) | 100.4(53) |
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eRBI超出RBI最多的前十名,第一棒的天下。
相關文章
RBI Estimation (1)
RBI Estimation (2)
RBI Estimation (補充)
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